Question

Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?

Resolved :No33%

6 comments6

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction33% (28% - 44%)

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50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

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40.2

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4.6

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2016 Italian constitutional referendum

Matteo Renzi

Five Star Movement

Italy women's national football team

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Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

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Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

2.8%

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

muzzle

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2016 Italian constitutional referendum

Matteo Renzi

Five Star Movement

Italy women's national football team

Germany’s Scholz faces a confidence vote. It’s expected to lead to an election in February

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

Can François Bayrou unite France’s moderates? Marine Le Pen looms if he fails | Paul Taylor

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Proposal to change India’s voting system to allow simultaneous polls fails to pass lower Parliament

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

2.8%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the Italian constitutional referendum pass?

Make a Prediction

Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Comments

Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Will South Tyrol secede from Italy before 2050?

Which party will win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies in the next Italian election?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?