Question

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 433.19 ppm over the 2024 to 2027 period?

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Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction33.6% (20% - 39%)

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50%

community: 33.6%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere

Physics

Atmospheric science

Representative Concentration Pathway

Climatology

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Earth System Research Laboratory

Climate Change Trial at The Hague

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Global forecast for 2025 sees temperatures falling back below 1.5°C

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Climate chaos accelerated in 2024 as we hit 1.5°C for the first time

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

20%

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

436

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?

2046-02-05

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Carbon dioxide in Earth's atmosphere

Physics

Atmospheric science

Representative Concentration Pathway

Climatology

Environmental science

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Earth System Research Laboratory

Climate Change Trial at The Hague

CounterPunch•Dec 13, 2024

Global forecast for 2025 sees temperatures falling back below 1.5°C

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Climate chaos accelerated in 2024 as we hit 1.5°C for the first time

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

20%

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

436

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?

2046-02-05

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Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 433.19 ppm over the 2024 to 2027 period?

Make a Prediction

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?

Comments

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?

Will the average global CO₂ atmospheric concentration be less than 423.89 PPM over the 2024 to 2027 period (inclusive)?

What will the atmospheric CO2 concentration be in 2030?

When will the seasonally adjusted atmospheric concentration of CO2 be lower than the same time in the previous year?