Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

When will the global annual mean surface air temperature moving average first exceed 1.3°C relative to the 1951-1980 base period?

Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction2029-08-16 (2026-05-25 - 2035-01-02)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2050-02-25
...
...
...
...
2026-05-25 01:26
2029-08-16 05:18
2035-01-02 13:24
2.3%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

? comments