Question

Will the FDA authorise the use of remdesivir to treat COVID-19 by the end of 2020?

Resolved :Ambiguous

37 comments37

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 60.0%mean 62.2%

Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Pharmacology

Food and Drug Administration

Gilead Sciences

University of Nebraska Medical Center

National Institutes of Health

Remdesivir

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

226

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Emergency Use Authorization

Pharmacology

Food and Drug Administration

Gilead Sciences

University of Nebraska Medical Center

National Institutes of Health

Remdesivir

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Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

If there is a new pandemic before 2032, how long (in days) will it be from the first US laboratory-confirmed case until the first FDA-approved treatment?

226

Before 2032, will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

95%