Question

Will EA Global San Francisco be cancelled or rescheduled due to COVID-19?

Resolved :Yes

38 comments38

Total Forecasters108

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

33.4

Community Peer Score

14.5

median 85.0%mean 82.9%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

In 2025, according to the EA Survey, what percentage of EA dollars will go to to global poverty?

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

79%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

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