M

Question

How many new cases of COVID-19 in the 1st quarter of 2021?

Resolved :45.5M44.2M
Total Forecasters143
Community Prediction44.2M (38.9M - 50.6M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1k0.1%
Quartiles
lower 25%38.88M
median44.21M
upper 75%50.6M
Upper bound
>1B0.2%

What was the final result?45.5M

Community Baseline Score
33.4
Community Peer Score
49.2
Authors:
Opened:Mar 7, 2020
Closes:Mar 14, 2021
Resolves:Apr 4, 2021

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