Question

Will Donald Trump be the President of the United States on January 1, 2018?

Resolved :Yes

13 comments13

Total Forecasters143

Community Prediction80%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

78.9

Community Peer Score

24.0

median 80.0%mean 80.3%

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Donald Trump

President of the US

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

17%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

Donald Trump

President of the US

The Morning After the Election

OpEdNews•Nov 11, 2024

How President-elect Trump can influence the U.S. economy

CNBC•Nov 12, 2024

When is Trump's visit to the White House? How to watch meeting with President Biden

USA Today•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

17%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?

80%