Question

[Short fuse] Will Michael Bloomberg drop out before the March 13th?

Resolved :Yes

18 comments18

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction67%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

4.3

Community Peer Score

1.3

median 67.0%mean 68.7%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Michael Bloomberg

March 13

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

Democratic Party (US)

United States

2020 US presidential election

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Michael Bloomberg

March 13

Michael Bloomberg 2020 presidential campaign

Democratic Party (US)

United States

2020 US presidential election

NYC Mayor Eric Adams requests earlier trial date so he can focus on reelection campaign

Associated Press•Nov 12, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams requests earlier trial in order to 'fully participate' in reelection campaign

NBC•Nov 12, 2024

NYC Mayor Eric Adams seeks earlier trial start date — April Fool’s Day — to clear way for re-election bid

New York Post•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Andrew Yang hold high Federal office in the United States before February 1 2037?

Will a member of the Forward Party hold any seat in the US congress or the presidency by February 1st 2029?

Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025?

95%