Question

Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic?

Resolved :Yes

106 comments106

Total Forecasters294

Community Prediction96%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

88.4

Community Peer Score

8.6

median 96.0%mean 92.5%

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2020 US presidential election

Tulsi Gabbard

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

122k

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

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