Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic?

Resolved :Yes96%
46
106
Total Forecasters294
Community Prediction96% (90% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
88.4
Community Peer Score
8.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Sylvain
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Virology
Public health
COVID-19
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
United States
Bernie Sanders
Medicine
2020 US presidential election

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