Question

Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic?

Resolved :Yes96%

106 comments106

Total Forecasters294

Community Prediction96% (90% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

88.4

Community Peer Score

8.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2020 US presidential election

Domestic Issues Overshadow Foreign Conflicts in 2024 Voting Decisions

•Dec 17, 2024

How Many Lives Were Lost to COVID-19? A Look Back Nearly 5 Years Later

Newsweek•Dec 19, 2024

All the warning signs Biden was 'senile from day one' of his presidency: Joe's catalogue of toe-curling gaffes and calamitous stumbles - as mental decline cover-up scandal deepens

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?

121k

Future Perfect 2020 Series

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