Question

When will the total international (outside mainland China) cases of COVID-19 exceed the total cases within mainland China?

Resolved :Mar 15, 20202020-03-16

23 comments23

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction2020-03-16 (2020-03-14 - 2020-03-17)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2020-05-09

...

2020-03-14 09:47

2020-03-16 00:11

2020-03-17 15:40

0.1%

What was the final result?Mar 15, 2020

Community Baseline Score

67.2

Community Peer Score

39.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

DragonGod

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

World Health Organization

Mainland China

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