Question

Will New York City close most of its public schools due to COVID-19 before 2021?

Resolved :Yes95%

59 comments59

Total Forecasters130

Community Prediction95% (90% - 98%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

74.4

Community Peer Score

3.5

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Hastings-on-Hudson, New York

New York (state)

Epidemiology

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Are Schools Closed Tomorrow? Map Shows Snow Alerts Across the Country

Newsweek•Jan 7, 2025

Are Schools Closed Tomorrow? Plans for Snow in 7 States

Newsweek•Jan 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

73%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

j.m.

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Hastings-on-Hudson, New York

New York (state)

Epidemiology

School Closings Near Me: How Winter Storm Has Impacted Your State

Newsweek•Jan 6, 2025

Are Schools Closed Tomorrow? Map Shows Snow Alerts Across the Country

Newsweek•Jan 7, 2025

Are Schools Closed Tomorrow? Plans for Snow in 7 States

Newsweek•Jan 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

10%

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

28%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

73%

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

MetaculusM

Will New York City close most of its public schools due to COVID-19 before 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Comments

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

Will the number of homicides in New York City exceed 1,500 in any year before 2050?

Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?