Question

Is Arnold alive?

Resolved :No26%

-1

4 comments4

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction26% (25% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 26%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

32.2

Community Peer Score

6.8

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

2016 Leaderboard

HBO

Robert Ford (outlaw)

Westworld (TV series)

Arnold Schwarzenegger transforms into Santa for 1st movie in 5 years

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

Arnold Schwarzenegger is shooting a movie as Santa, and it will put you in the jolliest holiday mood

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Viral Steve Harvey Death Hoax Sparked by Bogus AI Story

Breitbart•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Sports & Entertainment

2016 Leaderboard

HBO

Robert Ford (outlaw)

Westworld (TV series)

Arnold Schwarzenegger transforms into Santa for 1st movie in 5 years

FOX News•Dec 19, 2024

Arnold Schwarzenegger is shooting a movie as Santa, and it will put you in the jolliest holiday mood

CNN•Dec 19, 2024

Viral Steve Harvey Death Hoax Sparked by Bogus AI Story

Breitbart•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

51%

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Is Arnold alive?

Make a Prediction

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Comments

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?