Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Dominic Cummings still be Chief Adviser to Boris Johnson at the end of his first term?

Resolved :No2%
8
79
Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction2% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-2.7
Community Peer Score
-0.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
alexrjl
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2020 Leaderboard
Dominic Cummings
UK general election
Boris Johnson

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