Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US hold mass-turnout elections for President on schedule in 2020?

Resolved :Yes93%
30
46
Total Forecasters198
Community Prediction93% (87% - 95%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 93%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
81.4
Community Peer Score
2.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
DanielFilan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
President of the US
US Electoral College
United States
2020 US presidential election

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