Question

Will Tesla offer a self-driving capability on both highways and side streets by the end of 2020, with driver supervision required?

Resolved :Ambiguous

60 comments60

Total Forecasters96

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 30.0%mean 33.1%

Authors:

alphagrue

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Tesla dangles deals for new buyers who get their cars delivered by year's end as it tries to hit growth goal

Business Insider•Nov 19, 2024

Tesla stock surges as Trump plans to make it easier to get self-driving cars on the road

Daily Mail•Nov 19, 2024

US to add features such as blind spot warnings and pedestrian detection to vehicle crash ratings

Associated Press•Nov 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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When will these degrees of self-driving car autonomy be developed and commercially available?

2030-06-07

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

24%

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