Question

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction43% (10% - 70%)

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50%

community: 43%

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

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Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Longevity escape velocity

Liver acid could be ‘elixir’ to extend life, scientists say

Independent•Dec 20, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Living longer, not healthier: Study finds periods of poor health toward end of life

FOX News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2056-04-15

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

90%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Longevity escape velocity

Liver acid could be ‘elixir’ to extend life, scientists say

Independent•Dec 20, 2024

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Living longer, not healthier: Study finds periods of poor health toward end of life

FOX News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2056-04-15

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

90%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

44%

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Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

Make a Prediction

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

Comments

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?