Question

Will longevity escape velocity follow the development of effective life extending therapies?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction43% (10% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 43%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Mar 17, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2150

Health & Pandemics

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When will a country reach longevity escape velocity, i.e. sustained increase of life expectancy of at least 1?

2052-09-25

Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?

92%

Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?

50%

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