Question

More "Live(s) you can save" in 2016?

Resolved :No41%

4 comments4

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction41% (35% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

14.3

Community Peer Score

-8.0

Authors:

VLT

Opened:

Nov 19, 2016

Closes:

Dec 31, 2016

Resolves:

Mar 9, 2017

2016 Leaderboard

The Life You Can Save

It Is Possible to Reduce Accidents by 50% to Save 1.6 Million Lives, Prevent 200 Million Injuries in a Single Year - Global Research

Global Research•Jan 26, 2025

You're about to hear more about America's top killer: How to reduce your risk

USA Today•Jan 26, 2025

Happy New Year! 6,000 Babies Saved From Abortion Pill

PJ Media•Jan 27, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How much will GiveWell estimate as the cost equivalent to saving a life at the end of 2031?

480

Will one of GiveWell's 2019 top charities be estimated as the most cost-effective charity in 2031?

32%

Will the number of deaths from antibiotic-resistant infections per year double by December 31, 2025?

39%

Comments

? comments