🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many infections of COVID-19 confirmed by testing will be reported before 2021?

Resolved :81.5M86M
15
44
Total Forecasters124
Community Prediction86M (73.7M - 103M)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1B
...
...
...
...
73.66M
86.02M
102.7M
0.2%

What was the final result?81.5M

Community Baseline Score
42.3
Community Peer Score
38.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
isinlor
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Italy
Iran
China
Hubei
Wuhan
Public health
South Korea
Medicine
COVID-19

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