Question

Will any conclusive evidence for extraterrestrial life, past or present, be discovered within our Solar System by 2050?

63 comments63

Total Forecasters370

Community Prediction26%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 26%

median 26.0%mean 29.4%

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Extraterrestrial life

Biology

Panspermia

Astrobiology

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

11%

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Authors:

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Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Extraterrestrial life

Biology

Panspermia

Astrobiology

To Find Alien Intelligence, Start With the Mountains

Atlantic•Nov 11, 2024

Chances of aliens existing in our universe finally revealed by new 'formula for life' calculator

Daily Mail•Nov 14, 2024

Why Mars Could Hold The Keys To Understanding How Life Started Here

Forbes•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If life is discovered in the solar system before 2050, where will it be first discovered?

Will Europa be the first place humanity will discover extraterrestrial life, if it is discovered before 2045?

25%

Will we find life on Mars by 2050?

11%