Question

How many infections of COVID-19 will be estimated to have occurred before 2021? [1-8B range]

Resolved :1.22B

13 comments13

Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction1B

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1B

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

51.6%

1.455B

What was the final result?1.22B

Community Baseline Score

16.6

Community Peer Score

16.0

Authors:

Pablo

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Depending on a CDC authorization of a pan-betacoronavirus vaccine, how many US deaths will be attributed to betacoronaviruses between 2028 and 2030 (inclusive)?

119k

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

4.73

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