Question

Will there be Human-machine intelligence parity before 2040?

239

157 comments157

Total Forecasters2240

Community Prediction95% (87% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Dec 1, 2016

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

OpenAI boss Sam Altman says human-level intelligence is coming – and it won’t be fair

Independent•Feb 12, 2025

How AI will divide the best from the rest

Economist•Feb 14, 2025

Experts share chilling warning over DeepSeek as it sparks 'Lord Of the Rings race' for superhuman intelligence

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

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