🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many US state governors, members of the Supreme Court, and members of Congress will die from COVID-19 in 2020?

Resolved :00.859
28
60
Total Forecasters136
Community Prediction0.859 (0.311 - 2.14)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50
...
...
...
...
0.3114
0.8587
2.136
0.3%

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
150.6
Community Peer Score
54.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
j.m.
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Supreme Court of the US
US Congress
United States
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
US Senate

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