Question

Will it be reported that Trump has tested positive for COVID-19 in 2020?

Resolved :Yes

44 comments44

Total Forecasters132

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-26.7

Community Peer Score

14.2

median 45.0%mean 43.6%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

12%

Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025?

25%

Comments

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