Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will it be reported that Trump has tested positive for COVID-19 in 2020?

Resolved :Yes45%
10
44
Total Forecasters132
Community Prediction45% (30% - 51%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 45%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-26.7
Community Peer Score
14.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Health & Pandemics
2020 Leaderboard
Mike Pence
White House
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology
Donald Trump

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