Question

Will recounts appreciably change US presidential vote count?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters31

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

45.9

Community Peer Score

-4.6

median 35.0%mean 30.2%

Authors:

traviswfisher

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

US presidential election

Donald Trump

Pennsylvania

In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election?

15%

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

45%

Results of 2020 U.S. Election Risks Survey

Comments

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