🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will the April 2020 US nonfarm payrolls figure be?

Resolved :-20.5M-18.9M
7
50
Total Forecasters49
Community Prediction-18.9M (-21.3M - -16.4M)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<-25M
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>250k
...
...
...
...
...
6.8%
-21.26M
-18.92M
-16.39M
0.4%

What was the final result?-20.5M

Community Baseline Score
-10.1
Community Peer Score
40.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
Socio-economic impact of the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic
Nonfarm payrolls
Bureau of Labor Statistics

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