🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Out of the 25 largest U.S companies by revenue, how many will file for bankruptcy between March 2020 to March 2024?

Resolved :00.235
14
37
Total Forecasters141
Community Prediction0.235 (0.0931 - 0.639)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.09312
0.235
0.6392

What was the final result?0

Community Baseline Score
159.4
Community Peer Score
76.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
shibboleth
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2016-2025 Leaderboard
CIT Group
Great Recession in the US
United States
Bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers
Fortune 500
General Motors

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