Question

Will at least 9 of the 12 states hit hardest by COVID-19 in 2020 be states that voted for Trump in 2016?

Resolved :No

105 comments105

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction15%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.9

Community Peer Score

15.2

median 15.0%mean 17.6%

Authors:

randallburns

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Russian interference in the 2016 US elections

Will marijuana be legal for recreational use in a supermajority of these strongly Republican US states before 2041?

90%

How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2024-2025 season?

14.7

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → 10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?

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