Question

When will humanity use more than one millionth of the sun's energy output?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters63

Community Prediction2.26k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10k

...

2.097k

2.265k

3.455k

18.6%

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?

2080-07-10

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

75%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

pranomostro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

When will greenhouse gas emissions finally peak? Could be soon

NPR Online News•Nov 14, 2024

Inside the Quest to Make Fusion Energy a Reality

New York Times•Nov 15, 2024

Lasers powered by sunlight could be key to traveling to Mars, scientists say

Independent•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will 1% of humanity's GWP be produced off-Earth?

2080-07-10

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?

75%