Question

How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?

Resolved :3.66M

35 comments35

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction3.56M

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<3M

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>5M

...

1.7%

3.443M

3.56M

3.68M

0.2%

What was the final result?3.66M

Community Baseline Score

60.3

Community Peer Score

13.2

Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Social Sciences

United States

National Center for Health Statistics

What will the US population be in these years?

341

What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?

2.77

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%

Comments

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Authors:

ignorance.prior

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Social Sciences

United States

National Center for Health Statistics

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What will the US population be in these years?

341

What percent of babies born in the US in 2029 will have been conceived in vitro?

2.77

Will the population of the United States be higher than the People's Republic of China at any point before 2200?

12%