M

Question

How many people will be born in the United States in the year 2021?

Resolved :3.66M3.56M
Total Forecasters98
Community Prediction3.56M (3.44M - 3.68M)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<3M1.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%3.443M
median3.56M
upper 75%3.68M
Upper bound
>5M0.2%

What was the final result?3.66M

Community Baseline Score
60.3
Community Peer Score
13.2
Opened:Mar 27, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Aug 15, 2022

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