Question

Will there be an attack on the electrical grid for a major U.S. city in 2017?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters83

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

79.5

Community Peer Score

14.3

median 5.0%mean 12.2%

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Electrical engineering

United States

North American power transmission grid

Ted Koppel

Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%

Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025?

Chinese Cyberattack on Taiwan Grid by 2030? → Taiwan Semiconductor Wafers Lost To Attack (1M / year)

Comments

? comments

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Electrical engineering

United States

North American power transmission grid

Ted Koppel

American Water, the largest water utility in US, is targeted by a cyberattack

Associated Press•Oct 8, 2024

Largest water utility company in the U.S. targeted in cyberattack

NBC•Oct 8, 2024

Largest water utility company in the US says it was targeted by a cyberattack

USA Today•Oct 9, 2024

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Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?

55%