Question

Will remdesivir be administered to at least 50,000 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections in the US, UK, EU member states, and Japan, by the end of 2020?

Resolved :Yes95%

58 comments58

Total Forecasters155

Community Prediction95% (93% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

76.4

Community Peer Score

20.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

University of Nebraska Medical Center

Study retracted years after it set off an infamous COVID-19 treatment scandal

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

A Cancer-Causing Virus Hiding in Millions of Americans

New Yorker•Dec 18, 2024

Journal retracts study that promoted hydroxychloroquine as Covid treatment

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.19

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

University of Nebraska Medical Center

Study retracted years after it set off an infamous COVID-19 treatment scandal

USA Today•Dec 18, 2024

A Cancer-Causing Virus Hiding in Millions of Americans

New Yorker•Dec 18, 2024

Journal retracts study that promoted hydroxychloroquine as Covid treatment

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.19

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

2028-06-10

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will remdesivir be administered to at least 50,000 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infections in the US, UK, EU member states, and Japan, by the end of 2020?

Make a Prediction

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Comments

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?