Question

Will a 'biohacker' create a new life form that enters the ecosystem by April 1, 2018?

Resolved :No

9 comments9

Total Forecasters128

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

61.4

Community Peer Score

9.4

median 3.0%mean 6.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Playing God Series

Environment & Climate

International Genetically Engineered Machine

Biotechnology

Medicine

Will synthetic biological weapons infect 100 people by 2030?

32%

By five years after AGI, will an engineered pandemic have infected one billion people?

10%

If there is a biotechnological or bioengineered organism catastrophe this century, when will it happen?

2054-06-06

Comments

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