Question

Will a recession cause "suicides by the thousands"?

Resolved :No

70 comments70

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction40%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-128.5

Community Peer Score

3.1

median 40.0%mean 44.2%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Recession

National Center for Health Statistics

Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF?

20%

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

0.42

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Recession

National Center for Health Statistics

Europe faces a 'full-blown recession' under Trump's tariffs, big bank says

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Trump's proposed trade war raises the chances of a US recession to 75%, Wall Street strategist says

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF?

20%

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

0.42