Question
When will a vaccine for HIV be administered to 10 million people?
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction2028-09-10 (2026-02-10 - 2033-08-02)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2020-12-29 | 2.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | Feb 2026 | — |
| median | Sep 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2050-12-29 | 8.2% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
