Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will Washington state’s Department of Revenue report as the 2020 Q1 gross business income?

Resolved :214B188B
2
27
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction188B (161B - 213B)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<10B
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>500B
...
...
...
...
...
0.6%
161.1B
187.9B
213.2B
0.3%

What was the final result?214B

Community Baseline Score
57.1
Community Peer Score
19.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
ought
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Economy & Business
2020 Leaderboard
Washington (state)
Jay Inslee
Department of Revenue
Public health
Medicine
COVID-19
Virology

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