Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a major US website crash due to internet traffic in April?

Resolved :No9%
6
30
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction9% (5% - 13%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 9%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
61.1
Community Peer Score
13.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dan
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
2020 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
Windows Live
Google
Facebook
Wikipedia
Reddit
Netflix
Blogger (service)
YouTube

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