🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What fraction of United States adults will be vaccinated against the 2020—2021 seasonal influenza?

Resolved :0.5020.562
18
44
Total Forecasters104
Community Prediction0.562 (0.519 - 0.605)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.5191
0.5618
0.6054

What was the final result?0.502

Community Baseline Score
66.0
Community Peer Score
8.4
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
Technology
2020-2021 Leaderboard
United States
Public health
Medicine
Influenza
Virology
Influenza pandemic
Epidemiology

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