Question

Will Amazon award a $1M "Alexa Prize" for a chatbot in 2017?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction22%

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community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

46.1

Community Peer Score

17.3

median 22.0%mean 24.3%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Economy & Business

Amazon (company)

Artificial intelligence

Social bot

Computer science

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13%

When will an AI first pass a long, informed, adversarial Turing test?

2028-12-04

Will Robin Hanson win a bet that the GPT line of language models will generate < $1Bn in customer revenue before 2025?

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