Question

2018 Winograd Schema AI challenge: significant progress?

Resolved :Ambiguous

5 comments5

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction33%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 33.0%mean 35.7%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

Winograd Schema Challenge

Hector Levesque

Nuance Communications

Forecasting AI Progress — Discussion

By what year will an AI achieve at least 85% on Francois Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus?

2027-01-10

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

99%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

Winograd Schema Challenge

Hector Levesque

Nuance Communications

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Forecasting AI Progress — Discussion

By what year will an AI achieve at least 85% on Francois Chollet's Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus?

2027-01-10

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

99%