Question

Will the next US recession turn into a depression?

Resolved :No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters175

Community Prediction8%

Make a Prediction

community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

21.5

Community Peer Score

18.8

median 8.0%mean 15.3%

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

United States

Real gross domestic product

Great Depression in the US

Great Depression

What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

4.2e-1

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AABoyles

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2019–20 coronavirus pandemic

United States

Real gross domestic product

Great Depression in the US

Great Depression

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What will be the relative severity of the next US depression, compared to the Great Depression?

4.2e-1