M

Question

What proportion of Senate Democratic incumbents will be defeated in the 2020 election?

Resolved :914.5
Total Forecasters45
Community Prediction14.5 (8.9 - 20.1)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%8.895
median14.48
upper 75%20.15

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score
90.8
Community Peer Score
38.5
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Sep 5, 2020
Resolves:Jan 13, 2021

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