Question

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

Resolved :Yes

27 comments27

Total Forecasters175

Community Prediction100%

Make a Prediction

community: 99.9%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

8.4

Community Peer Score

1.4

median 99.9%mean 97.6%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?

33%

If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?

75%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

25%

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