Question
Question
Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?
Resolved :YesTotal Forecasters175
Community Prediction99.9%
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Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
8.4
Community Peer Score
1.4
median 99.9%mean 97.6%
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Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
33%
If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?
75%
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
35%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Will a US president who's not a Democrat or Republican be inaugurated before 2080?
33%
If Joe Biden is re-elected as US President in 2024, will he still be US President as of December 31, 2025?
75%
Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?
35%