Question

Will Boris Johnson recover from COVID-19?

Resolved :Yes

70 comments70

Total Forecasters162

Community Prediction95%

Make a Prediction

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

78.4

Community Peer Score

9.1

median 95.0%mean 91.0%

Authors:

DragonGod

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%

Will Nigel Farage become Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before January 1, 2035?

Comments

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Authors:

DragonGod

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

‘I felt like Achilles in a hard hat’: an extract from Boris Johnson’s ‘alternative’ memoir | Ian Martin

Guardian•Oct 10, 2024

Will Amnesia Help Boris Johnson Sell His New Book? – Mother Jones

Mother Jones•Oct 10, 2024

Starmer’s opening moves as PM have been as unpopular as Thatcher’s were. Can he recover like she did? | Andy Beckett

Guardian•Oct 11, 2024

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Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?

Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?

25%