Question

On May 1st, what percentage of Americans will be "very worried" that they, someone in their family or someone else they know will become infected with the coronavirus?

Resolved :31.2

6 comments6

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction30.6

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

28.85

30.6

32.37

What was the final result?31.2

Community Baseline Score

110.3

Community Peer Score

21.5

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament

Lightning Round Tournament Question 2.3.0

If at least 100 human cases of H5N1 are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.27

What will be CDC’s highest assessment of the risk posed by H5 bird flu to the US general public before January 1, 2026?

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