Question

When will programs write programs for us?

Resolved :Jul 7, 2021

68 comments68

Total Forecasters170

Community Prediction2026-11-16

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

2023-03-27 19:38

2026-11-16 07:09

2032-07-28 02:31

What was the final result?Jul 7, 2021

Community Baseline Score

9.3

Community Peer Score

31.4

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

C (programming language)

Python (programming language)

When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

2028-07-31

When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

2030-05-03

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-02-22

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

C (programming language)

Python (programming language)

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When will AIs program programs that can program AIs?

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When will a computer program be listed as an author in journal article in the Annals of Mathematics?

2030-05-03

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-02-22