Question
When will programs write programs for us?
Resolved:07 Jul 2021Total Forecasters170
Community Prediction
16 Nov 2026
(27 Mar 2023 - Jul 2032)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Mar 2023 | — |
| median | 16 Nov 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2032 | — |
What was the final result?07 Jul 2021
Community Baseline Score
9.3
Community Peer Score
31.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2017
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Dec 31, 2016
Closes:Jan 1, 2020
Resolves:Dec 31, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2017
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch