MetaculusM

Question

Question

What will be the sentiment of Metaculus users with regard to self-resolving questions at the end of 2022?

Resolved :-0.772

-4

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction-0.429

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

...

...

-0.6757

-0.4285

-0.1257

What was the final result?-0.772

Community Baseline Score

3.9

Community Peer Score

50.1

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keynesian beauty contest

The aftermath of Donald Trump's presidential election victory: November 6 - 7, 2024 Economist/YouGov Poll

•Nov 12, 2024

Polymarket and Kalshi Predicted Trump's Win. Now Comes the Hard Part.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keynesian beauty contest

The aftermath of Donald Trump's presidential election victory: November 6 - 7, 2024 Economist/YouGov Poll

•Nov 12, 2024

Polymarket and Kalshi Predicted Trump's Win. Now Comes the Hard Part.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch