Question
When will 10M people be administered a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?
Resolved :Jan 30, 20212021-02-02Total Forecasters272
Community Prediction2021-02-02 (2021-01-20 - 2021-02-17)
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CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-04-08
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2021-01-20 05:23
2021-02-02 02:09
2021-02-17 10:15
0.2%
What was the final result?Jan 30, 2021
Community Baseline Score
45.2
Community Peer Score
35.2
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Apr 8, 2021
Resolves:Apr 8, 2021
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2020
Closes:Apr 8, 2021
Resolves:Apr 8, 2021
